Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,836 거래량
$20,836 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
2%
$20,836 거래량
$20,836 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,589 거래량
94%
민주당
$9,247 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$20,836종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$20,836종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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