Skip to main content
icon for 토론토 시장 선거 당선자
정치·캐나다

토론토 시장 선거 당선자

icon for 토론토 시장 선거 당선자
정치·캐나다

토론토 시장 선거 당선자

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.0%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,616 거래량

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.0%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,616 거래량

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,304 거래량

78%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$9,006 거래량

20%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 거래량

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,924 거래량

1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$3,317 거래량

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$2,169 거래량

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 거래량

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 거래량

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, reflected in the market's 77.5 percent implied probability for her victory. A May 14 Liaison Strategies poll shows her at 50 percent support among decided voters, maintaining a 13-point edge over Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered as the leading challenger when nominations opened on May 1. Chow's sustained approval ratings near 55 percent, combined with the decision by former Mayor John Tory to sit out, have consolidated voter preference behind the familiar incumbent amid a fragmented field. Bradford's 19.5 percent market share aligns with his early campaign momentum, while minimal support for Ana Bailão and other candidates underscores limited traction for alternatives ahead of the fall contest.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
거래량
$30,616
종료일
2026.10.26
마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, reflected in the market's 77.5 percent implied probability for her victory. A May 14 Liaison Strategies poll shows her at 50 percent support among decided voters, maintaining a 13-point edge over Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered as the leading challenger when nominations opened on May 1. Chow's sustained approval ratings near 55 percent, combined with the decision by former Mayor John Tory to sit out, have consolidated voter preference behind the familiar incumbent amid a fragmented field. Bradford's 19.5 percent market share aligns with his early campaign momentum, while minimal support for Ana Bailão and other candidates underscores limited traction for alternatives ahead of the fall contest.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
거래량
$30,616
종료일
2026.10.26
마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"은 8개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 78%의 "Olivia Chow"이며, 이어서 20%의 "Brad Bradford"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 78¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "토론토 시장 선거 당선자"은 총 $30.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 1, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 8개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"의 현재 유력 후보는 78%의 "Olivia Chow"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 20%의 "Brad Bradford"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.