Ongoing territorial disputes and stalled diplomatic efforts explain traders' 70.5% assessment that Ukraine will not sign a comprehensive peace agreement with Russia before 2027. Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and the United Arab Emirates produced limited progress on monitoring mechanisms but remained deadlocked over Russian demands for full control of the Donbas and other occupied regions. A brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire in May 2026 around Victory Day celebrations ended amid mutual violation accusations, with Kremlin officials stating that any settlement remains a very long way off due to unresolved complexities. Statements from Russian and Ukrainian leaders continue to highlight deep gaps on security guarantees and borders, leaving negotiations paused without a clear timeline for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$575,524 거래량
$575,524 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$575,524 거래량
$575,524 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing territorial disputes and stalled diplomatic efforts explain traders' 70.5% assessment that Ukraine will not sign a comprehensive peace agreement with Russia before 2027. Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and the United Arab Emirates produced limited progress on monitoring mechanisms but remained deadlocked over Russian demands for full control of the Donbas and other occupied regions. A brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire in May 2026 around Victory Day celebrations ended amid mutual violation accusations, with Kremlin officials stating that any settlement remains a very long way off due to unresolved complexities. Statements from Russian and Ukrainian leaders continue to highlight deep gaps on security guarantees and borders, leaving negotiations paused without a clear timeline for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
거래량
$575,524종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing territorial disputes and stalled diplomatic efforts explain traders' 70.5% assessment that Ukraine will not sign a comprehensive peace agreement with Russia before 2027. Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and the United Arab Emirates produced limited progress on monitoring mechanisms but remained deadlocked over Russian demands for full control of the Donbas and other occupied regions. A brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire in May 2026 around Victory Day celebrations ended amid mutual violation accusations, with Kremlin officials stating that any settlement remains a very long way off due to unresolved complexities. Statements from Russian and Ukrainian leaders continue to highlight deep gaps on security guarantees and borders, leaving negotiations paused without a clear timeline for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$575,524종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing territorial disputes and stalled diplomatic efforts explain traders' 70.5% assessment that Ukraine will not sign a comprehensive peace agreement with Russia before 2027. Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and the United Arab Emirates produced limited progress on monitoring mechanisms but remained deadlocked over Russian demands for full control of the Donbas and other occupied regions. A brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire in May 2026 around Victory Day celebrations ended amid mutual violation accusations, with Kremlin officials stating that any settlement remains a very long way off due to unresolved complexities. Statements from Russian and Ukrainian leaders continue to highlight deep gaps on security guarantees and borders, leaving negotiations paused without a clear timeline for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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