US economic sanctions and an oil supply blockade imposed in early 2026 have triggered Cuba’s worst energy and humanitarian crisis in decades, prompting Cuban officials to publicly confirm high-level diplomatic talks with the Trump administration aimed at easing fuel shortages. President Trump has alternated maximum-pressure measures—including tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and public calls for a “deal”—with outreach, including a US delegation visit to Havana in April and CIA Director Ratcliffe’s May meetings. Cuba has released thousands of prisoners as a goodwill step while rejecting preconditions on sovereignty or internal reforms; US officials cite stalled progress and Cuban red lines as reasons for continued skepticism about sustained engagement. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional bilateral meetings will occur before deadlines amid these competing incentives and the risk of further escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.30
June 30
41%
July 31
50%
$4 거래량
June 30
$3 거래량
41%
July 31
$1 거래량
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.US economic sanctions and an oil supply blockade imposed in early 2026 have triggered Cuba’s worst energy and humanitarian crisis in decades, prompting Cuban officials to publicly confirm high-level diplomatic talks with the Trump administration aimed at easing fuel shortages. President Trump has alternated maximum-pressure measures—including tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and public calls for a “deal”—with outreach, including a US delegation visit to Havana in April and CIA Director Ratcliffe’s May meetings. Cuba has released thousands of prisoners as a goodwill step while rejecting preconditions on sovereignty or internal reforms; US officials cite stalled progress and Cuban red lines as reasons for continued skepticism about sustained engagement. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional bilateral meetings will occur before deadlines amid these competing incentives and the risk of further escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 17, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
거래량
$4종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.US economic sanctions and an oil supply blockade imposed in early 2026 have triggered Cuba’s worst energy and humanitarian crisis in decades, prompting Cuban officials to publicly confirm high-level diplomatic talks with the Trump administration aimed at easing fuel shortages. President Trump has alternated maximum-pressure measures—including tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and public calls for a “deal”—with outreach, including a US delegation visit to Havana in April and CIA Director Ratcliffe’s May meetings. Cuba has released thousands of prisoners as a goodwill step while rejecting preconditions on sovereignty or internal reforms; US officials cite stalled progress and Cuban red lines as reasons for continued skepticism about sustained engagement. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional bilateral meetings will occur before deadlines amid these competing incentives and the risk of further escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$4종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US economic sanctions and an oil supply blockade imposed in early 2026 have triggered Cuba’s worst energy and humanitarian crisis in decades, prompting Cuban officials to publicly confirm high-level diplomatic talks with the Trump administration aimed at easing fuel shortages. President Trump has alternated maximum-pressure measures—including tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and public calls for a “deal”—with outreach, including a US delegation visit to Havana in April and CIA Director Ratcliffe’s May meetings. Cuba has released thousands of prisoners as a goodwill step while rejecting preconditions on sovereignty or internal reforms; US officials cite stalled progress and Cuban red lines as reasons for continued skepticism about sustained engagement. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional bilateral meetings will occur before deadlines amid these competing incentives and the risk of further escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문