Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
59%
Republican Party
32%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$287 거래량
59%
Republican Party
$513 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$800종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$800종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic Party victory at 60.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting Elaine Luria's strong comeback bid as a leading challenger against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans in a potential rematch. The district's battleground status—Biden +2 in 2020, Trump +0.2 in 2024—combined with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and robust Luria fundraising have bolstered flip prospects. April's voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, despite court-blocked certification, prompted forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift VA-02 to Leans Democratic. Republican odds trail at 22% amid primary uncertainties and midterm headwinds under a GOP presidency, with filing deadline May 26 and August 4 primaries ahead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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