Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest and no prominent Republican challenger for the November general election, reinforcing trader expectations of continued Democratic control. The district encompasses Richmond and surrounding Southside areas with voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins historically. While a significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate quality surge could narrow the gap, current conditions point to structural advantages that have kept Republican prospects limited in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트VA-04 House Election Winner
VA-04 House Election Winner
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,345 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$2,157 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest and no prominent Republican challenger for the November general election, reinforcing trader expectations of continued Democratic control. The district encompasses Richmond and surrounding Southside areas with voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins historically. While a significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate quality surge could narrow the gap, current conditions point to structural advantages that have kept Republican prospects limited in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$5,502종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest and no prominent Republican challenger for the November general election, reinforcing trader expectations of continued Democratic control. The district encompasses Richmond and surrounding Southside areas with voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins historically. While a significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate quality surge could narrow the gap, current conditions point to structural advantages that have kept Republican prospects limited in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,502종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest and no prominent Republican challenger for the November general election, reinforcing trader expectations of continued Democratic control. The district encompasses Richmond and surrounding Southside areas with voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins historically. While a significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate quality surge could narrow the gap, current conditions point to structural advantages that have kept Republican prospects limited in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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