The ongoing UN Secretary-General selection process, formally launched in November 2025 for a five-year term beginning January 2027, centers on Security Council consensus followed by General Assembly approval, with regional rotation favoring a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Trader consensus positions Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner at 38.5 percent, reflecting his experience as IAEA director general navigating nuclear diplomacy and relations with permanent Security Council members. Maria Fernanda Espinosa at 23.4 percent and Rebeca Grynspan at 13.4 percent draw support from their prior roles in multilateral institutions and national leadership. April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed the main contenders, including Michelle Bachelet, to present visions on global crises, highlighting factors such as diplomatic networks and perceived ability to manage institutional challenges that shape current probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트라파엘 그로시 49%
마리아 페르난다 에스피노사 가르세스 23.3%
레베카 그린스팬 13.3%
미첼 바첼레트 12.6%
$60,768 거래량
$60,768 거래량
라파엘 그로시
38%
마리아 페르난다 에스피노사 가르세스
23%
레베카 그린스팬
13%
미첼 바첼레트
13%
자신다 아던
4%
브루노 도나트
1%
다비드 초케후앙카
<1%
부크 예레미치
<1%
미아 모틀리
<1%
콜롬브 카헨-살바도르
<1%
알리시아 바르세나
<1%
크리스탈리나 게오르기에바
<1%
아미나 모하메드
<1%
아힘 슈타이너
<1%
라파엘 그로시 49%
마리아 페르난다 에스피노사 가르세스 23.3%
레베카 그린스팬 13.3%
미첼 바첼레트 12.6%
$60,768 거래량
$60,768 거래량
라파엘 그로시
38%
마리아 페르난다 에스피노사 가르세스
23%
레베카 그린스팬
13%
미첼 바첼레트
13%
자신다 아던
4%
브루노 도나트
1%
다비드 초케후앙카
<1%
부크 예레미치
<1%
미아 모틀리
<1%
콜롬브 카헨-살바도르
<1%
알리시아 바르세나
<1%
크리스탈리나 게오르기에바
<1%
아미나 모하메드
<1%
아힘 슈타이너
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ongoing UN Secretary-General selection process, formally launched in November 2025 for a five-year term beginning January 2027, centers on Security Council consensus followed by General Assembly approval, with regional rotation favoring a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Trader consensus positions Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner at 38.5 percent, reflecting his experience as IAEA director general navigating nuclear diplomacy and relations with permanent Security Council members. Maria Fernanda Espinosa at 23.4 percent and Rebeca Grynspan at 13.4 percent draw support from their prior roles in multilateral institutions and national leadership. April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed the main contenders, including Michelle Bachelet, to present visions on global crises, highlighting factors such as diplomatic networks and perceived ability to manage institutional challenges that shape current probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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