Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and IPO preparations anchor trader expectations for elevated valuations by late October. The AI firm’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up sharply from $47 billion in May and roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025, following a $65 billion Series H round that set its May post-money valuation at $965 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion IPO valuation with $100 billion-plus proceeds as early as September or October, exceeding recent secondary-market levels near $1.2 trillion. This momentum, alongside enterprise adoption of Claude and a federal court ruling blocking Pentagon restrictions, supports the market-implied odds favoring the $2.00–2.25 trillion and higher brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include final IPO pricing and any additional funding or partnership announcements that could refine public-market multiples ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2.25T+ 50%
<$500B 49%
$500-$750B 48%
$2.00-$2.25T 34%
<$500B
26%
$500-$750B
26%
$750B-$1.00T
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
25%
$1.25-$1.50T
25%
$1.50-$1.75T
29%
$1.75-$2.00T
16%
$2.00-$2.25T
34%
$2.25T+
50%
$2.25T+ 50%
<$500B 49%
$500-$750B 48%
$2.00-$2.25T 34%
<$500B
26%
$500-$750B
26%
$750B-$1.00T
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
25%
$1.25-$1.50T
25%
$1.50-$1.75T
29%
$1.75-$2.00T
16%
$2.00-$2.25T
34%
$2.25T+
50%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/dataRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/dataRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and IPO preparations anchor trader expectations for elevated valuations by late October. The AI firm’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up sharply from $47 billion in May and roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025, following a $65 billion Series H round that set its May post-money valuation at $965 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion IPO valuation with $100 billion-plus proceeds as early as September or October, exceeding recent secondary-market levels near $1.2 trillion. This momentum, alongside enterprise adoption of Claude and a federal court ruling blocking Pentagon restrictions, supports the market-implied odds favoring the $2.00–2.25 trillion and higher brackets. Key upcoming catalysts include final IPO pricing and any additional funding or partnership announcements that could refine public-market multiples ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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