The AZ-04 Democratic primary features incumbent U.S. Rep. Greg Stanton facing a progressive challenge from organizer Kai Newkirk, with the July 21 contest occurring in a safely Democratic district spanning Tempe, Ahwatukee, and parts of Chandler and Mesa. Newkirk's late entry has highlighted ideological contrasts, drawing endorsements from groups such as Our Revolution and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, while Stanton maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million in receipts. Trader prices remain closely aligned near even odds for the two main candidates, reflecting uncertainty over primary turnout, the strength of progressive mobilization, and whether the challenger's limited cash and visibility can overcome typical incumbent advantages in ballot access and party infrastructure. Key upcoming factors include any final debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter engagement that could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner
AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
Greg Stanton
46%
Kai Newkirk
46%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
Greg Stanton
$0 Wol.
46%
Kai Newkirk
$0 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The AZ-04 Democratic primary features incumbent U.S. Rep. Greg Stanton facing a progressive challenge from organizer Kai Newkirk, with the July 21 contest occurring in a safely Democratic district spanning Tempe, Ahwatukee, and parts of Chandler and Mesa. Newkirk's late entry has highlighted ideological contrasts, drawing endorsements from groups such as Our Revolution and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, while Stanton maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million in receipts. Trader prices remain closely aligned near even odds for the two main candidates, reflecting uncertainty over primary turnout, the strength of progressive mobilization, and whether the challenger's limited cash and visibility can overcome typical incumbent advantages in ballot access and party infrastructure. Key upcoming factors include any final debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter engagement that could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The AZ-04 Democratic primary features incumbent U.S. Rep. Greg Stanton facing a progressive challenge from organizer Kai Newkirk, with the July 21 contest occurring in a safely Democratic district spanning Tempe, Ahwatukee, and parts of Chandler and Mesa. Newkirk's late entry has highlighted ideological contrasts, drawing endorsements from groups such as Our Revolution and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, while Stanton maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million in receipts. Trader prices remain closely aligned near even odds for the two main candidates, reflecting uncertainty over primary turnout, the strength of progressive mobilization, and whether the challenger's limited cash and visibility can overcome typical incumbent advantages in ballot access and party infrastructure. Key upcoming factors include any final debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter engagement that could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The AZ-04 Democratic primary features incumbent U.S. Rep. Greg Stanton facing a progressive challenge from organizer Kai Newkirk, with the July 21 contest occurring in a safely Democratic district spanning Tempe, Ahwatukee, and parts of Chandler and Mesa. Newkirk's late entry has highlighted ideological contrasts, drawing endorsements from groups such as Our Revolution and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, while Stanton maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million in receipts. Trader prices remain closely aligned near even odds for the two main candidates, reflecting uncertainty over primary turnout, the strength of progressive mobilization, and whether the challenger's limited cash and visibility can overcome typical incumbent advantages in ballot access and party infrastructure. Key upcoming factors include any final debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter engagement that could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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