Xavier Becerra holds an 82% implied probability of winning the Santa Clara County portion of California’s June 2, 2026 gubernatorial primary because recent vote counts show him leading Democratic rivals Tom Steyer and Matt Mahan by several points in the heavily Democratic county, consistent with his statewide frontrunner status built on prior service as state attorney general and U.S. health secretary plus broad labor and progressive endorsements. Steyer’s 14% share reflects his stronger performance in other Northern California counties such as San Francisco and Marin, while lower probabilities for Steve Hilton, Katie Porter, and remaining candidates align with their limited county-level support in final tallies still being certified. Ongoing ballot processing through mid-June could produce minor shifts but has not altered the current ordering.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCalifornia Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner
Xavier Becerra 97.8%
Tom Steyer 5.0%
Katie Porter 3.0%
Steve Hilton 1.6%
$9,765 Wol.
$9,765 Wol.
Xavier Becerra
82%
Katie Porter
3%
Tom Steyer
13%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Steve Hilton
2%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Xavier Becerra 97.8%
Tom Steyer 5.0%
Katie Porter 3.0%
Steve Hilton 1.6%
$9,765 Wol.
$9,765 Wol.
Xavier Becerra
82%
Katie Porter
3%
Tom Steyer
13%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Steve Hilton
2%
Matt Mahan
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds an 82% implied probability of winning the Santa Clara County portion of California’s June 2, 2026 gubernatorial primary because recent vote counts show him leading Democratic rivals Tom Steyer and Matt Mahan by several points in the heavily Democratic county, consistent with his statewide frontrunner status built on prior service as state attorney general and U.S. health secretary plus broad labor and progressive endorsements. Steyer’s 14% share reflects his stronger performance in other Northern California counties such as San Francisco and Marin, while lower probabilities for Steve Hilton, Katie Porter, and remaining candidates align with their limited county-level support in final tallies still being certified. Ongoing ballot processing through mid-June could produce minor shifts but has not altered the current ordering.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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