Recent polling from Survation in late May and early June placed Restore Britain at 7-8% in Makerfield, well below the 10% threshold, with Reform UK on 39-40% and Labour's Andy Burnham leading on 43-49%. The by-election on 18 June marks the party's first parliamentary contest under leader Rupert Lowe, following candidate Rebecca Shepherd's selection in May amid documented rivalry with Reform that fragments right-wing support. Canvassing returns claiming higher figures have not shifted independent surveys, and the short campaign timeline leaves limited scope for late swings before polling day. Trader consensus reflects these consistent survey results and the structural challenges facing a new entrant in a first-past-the-post contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling from Survation in late May and early June placed Restore Britain at 7-8% in Makerfield, well below the 10% threshold, with Reform UK on 39-40% and Labour's Andy Burnham leading on 43-49%. The by-election on 18 June marks the party's first parliamentary contest under leader Rupert Lowe, following candidate Rebecca Shepherd's selection in May amid documented rivalry with Reform that fragments right-wing support. Canvassing returns claiming higher figures have not shifted independent surveys, and the short campaign timeline leaves limited scope for late swings before polling day. Trader consensus reflects these consistent survey results and the structural challenges facing a new entrant in a first-past-the-post contest.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,475Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling from Survation in late May and early June placed Restore Britain at 7-8% in Makerfield, well below the 10% threshold, with Reform UK on 39-40% and Labour's Andy Burnham leading on 43-49%. The by-election on 18 June marks the party's first parliamentary contest under leader Rupert Lowe, following candidate Rebecca Shepherd's selection in May amid documented rivalry with Reform that fragments right-wing support. Canvassing returns claiming higher figures have not shifted independent surveys, and the short campaign timeline leaves limited scope for late swings before polling day. Trader consensus reflects these consistent survey results and the structural challenges facing a new entrant in a first-past-the-post contest.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Wolumen
$6,475Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from Survation in late May and early June placed Restore Britain at 7-8% in Makerfield, well below the 10% threshold, with Reform UK on 39-40% and Labour's Andy Burnham leading on 43-49%. The by-election on 18 June marks the party's first parliamentary contest under leader Rupert Lowe, following candidate Rebecca Shepherd's selection in May amid documented rivalry with Reform that fragments right-wing support. Canvassing returns claiming higher figures have not shifted independent surveys, and the short campaign timeline leaves limited scope for late swings before polling day. Trader consensus reflects these consistent survey results and the structural challenges facing a new entrant in a first-past-the-post contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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