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Polityka·Prawybory

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Polityka·Prawybory

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 18%

Chad Bianco 2.8%

Polymarket

$26,856 Wol.

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 18%

Chad Bianco 2.8%

Polymarket

$26,856 Wol.

Xavier Becerra

$7,623 Wol.

48%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 Wol.

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,377 Wol.

18%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 Wol.

3%

Katie Porter

$1,177 Wol.

2%

Matt Mahan

$1,580 Wol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$698 Wol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$642 Wol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$721 Wol.

1%

Raji Rab

$682 Wol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$511 Wol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$600 Wol.

<1%

Thunder Parley

$465 Wol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$575 Wol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$508 Wol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$618 Wol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$565 Wol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$626 Wol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including Emerson College and David Binder Research surveys released this week, show former U.S. Health Secretary Xavier Becerra leading California's crowded top-two gubernatorial primary at 19-22% among likely voters, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer tied or close at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Becerra at 48% for first place. High undecided rates (6-12%) reflect a fluid race with the June 2 primary approaching, where the top two advance regardless of party. Becerra's surge stems from Democratic consolidation amid attacks on rivals, while Steyer's heavy self-funding sustains his position and Hilton draws GOP support despite historical Republican struggles in statewide races. Final debate outcomes and early voting could shift dynamics.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Wolumen
$26,856
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including Emerson College and David Binder Research surveys released this week, show former U.S. Health Secretary Xavier Becerra leading California's crowded top-two gubernatorial primary at 19-22% among likely voters, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer tied or close at 17% each, driving trader consensus to price Becerra at 48% for first place. High undecided rates (6-12%) reflect a fluid race with the June 2 primary approaching, where the top two advance regardless of party. Becerra's surge stems from Democratic consolidation amid attacks on rivals, while Steyer's heavy self-funding sustains his position and Hilton draws GOP support despite historical Republican struggles in statewide races. Final debate outcomes and early voting could shift dynamics.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Wolumen
$26,856
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"California Governor Primary Election: First Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 18 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Xavier Becerra" z 48%, za nim "Tom Steyer" z 25%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 48¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 48% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" wygenerował $26.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 16, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "California Governor Primary Election: First Place", przeglądaj 18 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" jest "Xavier Becerra" z 48%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 48% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Tom Steyer" z 25%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.