Traders see roughly equal implied probabilities across the 40-199 post ranges for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity in the August 7-14, 2026 window, reflecting high uncertainty and historical week-to-week variance in his posting volume. Absent major scheduled events such as debates, rallies, or legislative votes that typically drive spikes, activity tends to cluster around baseline patterns of multiple daily posts. A late-breaking news cycle, official announcements, or campaign developments inside the resolution period could shift volume upward, while a quiet stretch or platform restrictions might compress totals toward the lower buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano20-39 43%
40-59 43%
80-99 43%
100-119 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
43%
40-59
43%
60-79
42%
80-99
43%
100-119
43%
120-139
43%
140-159
43%
160-179
43%
180-199
43%
200+
43%
20-39 43%
40-59 43%
80-99 43%
100-119 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$10 Wol.
1%
20-39
$0 Wol.
43%
40-59
$0 Wol.
43%
60-79
$0 Wol.
42%
80-99
$0 Wol.
43%
100-119
$0 Wol.
43%
120-139
$0 Wol.
43%
140-159
$0 Wol.
43%
160-179
$0 Wol.
43%
180-199
$0 Wol.
43%
200+
$0 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see roughly equal implied probabilities across the 40-199 post ranges for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity in the August 7-14, 2026 window, reflecting high uncertainty and historical week-to-week variance in his posting volume. Absent major scheduled events such as debates, rallies, or legislative votes that typically drive spikes, activity tends to cluster around baseline patterns of multiple daily posts. A late-breaking news cycle, official announcements, or campaign developments inside the resolution period could shift volume upward, while a quiet stretch or platform restrictions might compress totals toward the lower buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see roughly equal implied probabilities across the 40-199 post ranges for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity in the August 7-14, 2026 window, reflecting high uncertainty and historical week-to-week variance in his posting volume. Absent major scheduled events such as debates, rallies, or legislative votes that typically drive spikes, activity tends to cluster around baseline patterns of multiple daily posts. A late-breaking news cycle, official announcements, or campaign developments inside the resolution period could shift volume upward, while a quiet stretch or platform restrictions might compress totals toward the lower buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see roughly equal implied probabilities across the 40-199 post ranges for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity in the August 7-14, 2026 window, reflecting high uncertainty and historical week-to-week variance in his posting volume. Absent major scheduled events such as debates, rallies, or legislative votes that typically drive spikes, activity tends to cluster around baseline patterns of multiple daily posts. A late-breaking news cycle, official announcements, or campaign developments inside the resolution period could shift volume upward, while a quiet stretch or platform restrictions might compress totals toward the lower buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania