This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.The DOJ’s July 2025 memo concluded that no “client list” of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activities exists in its files, no credible blackmail evidence was found, and no further disclosures were warranted, shaping trader views that such a document is unlikely to emerge. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted a major January 2026 release of over three million pages plus videos and images, officially described as the final large tranche, though it contained no singular list and drew criticism over redactions. Congressional oversight hearings, contempt proceedings, and 2026 court orders directing the DOJ to justify or remove certain redactions have sustained pressure for additional material, while victim privacy protections and official findings continue to limit scope. Resolution timing by June 30, 2026, hinges on whether any forthcoming unredacted files or congressional actions meet the market’s specific criteria for a qualifying list.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
The DOJ’s July 2025 memo concluded that no “client list” of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activities exists in its files, no credible blackmail evidence was found, and no further disclosures were warranted, shaping trader views that such a document is unlikely to emerge. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted a major January 2026 release of over three million pages plus videos and images, officially described as the final large tranche, though it contained no singular list and drew criticism over redactions. Congressional oversight hearings, contempt proceedings, and 2026 court orders directing the DOJ to justify or remove certain redactions have sustained pressure for additional material, while victim privacy protections and official findings continue to limit scope. Resolution timing by June 30, 2026, hinges on whether any forthcoming unredacted files or congressional actions meet the market’s specific criteria for a qualifying list.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.The DOJ’s July 2025 memo concluded that no “client list” of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activities exists in its files, no credible blackmail evidence was found, and no further disclosures were warranted, shaping trader views that such a document is unlikely to emerge. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted a major January 2026 release of over three million pages plus videos and images, officially described as the final large tranche, though it contained no singular list and drew criticism over redactions. Congressional oversight hearings, contempt proceedings, and 2026 court orders directing the DOJ to justify or remove certain redactions have sustained pressure for additional material, while victim privacy protections and official findings continue to limit scope. Resolution timing by June 30, 2026, hinges on whether any forthcoming unredacted files or congressional actions meet the market’s specific criteria for a qualifying list.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
The DOJ’s July 2025 memo concluded that no “client list” of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activities exists in its files, no credible blackmail evidence was found, and no further disclosures were warranted, shaping trader views that such a document is unlikely to emerge. The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, prompted a major January 2026 release of over three million pages plus videos and images, officially described as the final large tranche, though it contained no singular list and drew criticism over redactions. Congressional oversight hearings, contempt proceedings, and 2026 court orders directing the DOJ to justify or remove certain redactions have sustained pressure for additional material, while victim privacy protections and official findings continue to limit scope. Resolution timing by June 30, 2026, hinges on whether any forthcoming unredacted files or congressional actions meet the market’s specific criteria for a qualifying list.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
"Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "October 31" z 22%, za nim "December 31" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 22¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 22% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" wygenerował $4.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 18, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" jest "October 31" z 22%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 22% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "December 31" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $4.4 million wolumenu na "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 22¢ za "October 31" na rynku "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 22% szansy na to, że "October 31" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 22¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 78¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Planowana data zakończenia rynku "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" minęła, ale rynek nie został jeszcze oficjalnie rozstrzygnięty. Data zakończenia wskazuje, kiedy oczekuje się, że dane wydarzenie nastąpi lub stanie się poznawalne. Nie jest to moment zakończenia handlu. Rynek pozostaje otwarty do handlu aż do formalnego rozstrzygnięcia wyniku. Możesz nadal kupować, sprzedawać lub zamykać swoją pozycję w oczekiwaniu na rozstrzygnięcie. Sprawdź tracker statusu rozstrzygnięcia i sekcję "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?" ma aktywną społeczność z 1,049 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na czym pozycjonują się największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Lista klientów Epstein opublikowana przez...?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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