**Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions (CRs) well ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end deadline, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026.** The House passed a clean CR in July funding operations at current levels through December 4, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 vote extending funding through December 11. Both versions include targeted adjustments and avoid controversial riders that could derail passage. President Trump has signaled support for signing a final compromise, reflecting bipartisan incentives to prevent another shutdown—following multiple FY2026 funding gaps—during the midterm election period. With procedural momentum established and no major unresolved obstacles reported, traders assign high probability to uninterrupted funding authority into December. Key upcoming steps include House consideration of the Senate version upon return from recess in early September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFederal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
15% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
15% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions (CRs) well ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end deadline, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026.** The House passed a clean CR in July funding operations at current levels through December 4, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 vote extending funding through December 11. Both versions include targeted adjustments and avoid controversial riders that could derail passage.
President Trump has signaled support for signing a final compromise, reflecting bipartisan incentives to prevent another shutdown—following multiple FY2026 funding gaps—during the midterm election period. With procedural momentum established and no major unresolved obstacles reported, traders assign high probability to uninterrupted funding authority into December. Key upcoming steps include House consideration of the Senate version upon return from recess in early September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,340Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions (CRs) well ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end deadline, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026.** The House passed a clean CR in July funding operations at current levels through December 4, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 vote extending funding through December 11. Both versions include targeted adjustments and avoid controversial riders that could derail passage.
President Trump has signaled support for signing a final compromise, reflecting bipartisan incentives to prevent another shutdown—following multiple FY2026 funding gaps—during the midterm election period. With procedural momentum established and no major unresolved obstacles reported, traders assign high probability to uninterrupted funding authority into December. Key upcoming steps include House consideration of the Senate version upon return from recess in early September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,340Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Congressional leaders have advanced bipartisan continuing resolutions (CRs) well ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end deadline, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026.** The House passed a clean CR in July funding operations at current levels through December 4, while the Senate approved a similar measure on August 8 by a 90-6 vote extending funding through December 11. Both versions include targeted adjustments and avoid controversial riders that could derail passage. President Trump has signaled support for signing a final compromise, reflecting bipartisan incentives to prevent another shutdown—following multiple FY2026 funding gaps—during the midterm election period. With procedural momentum established and no major unresolved obstacles reported, traders assign high probability to uninterrupted funding authority into December. Key upcoming steps include House consideration of the Senate version upon return from recess in early September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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