Rising gas prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, have prompted multiple legislative proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax. President Trump and bipartisan members of Congress, including Democratic Senators Kelly and Blumenthal and Republican Senator Hawley, have backed temporary relief measures through October 2026 or for 90-day periods with extension authority, though none have advanced to enactment. The federal tax has never been suspended since 1956, while several states have implemented their own pauses. With the market assigning roughly 20% probability to suspension by November 2, 2026, traders appear focused on congressional gridlock, revenue impacts on the Highway Trust Fund, and the limited price relief typically passed through to consumers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$31,988 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
November 2
20%
$31,988 Wol.
November 2
$9,622 Wol.
20%
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising gas prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, have prompted multiple legislative proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax. President Trump and bipartisan members of Congress, including Democratic Senators Kelly and Blumenthal and Republican Senator Hawley, have backed temporary relief measures through October 2026 or for 90-day periods with extension authority, though none have advanced to enactment. The federal tax has never been suspended since 1956, while several states have implemented their own pauses. With the market assigning roughly 20% probability to suspension by November 2, 2026, traders appear focused on congressional gridlock, revenue impacts on the Highway Trust Fund, and the limited price relief typically passed through to consumers.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,988Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising gas prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, have prompted multiple legislative proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax. President Trump and bipartisan members of Congress, including Democratic Senators Kelly and Blumenthal and Republican Senator Hawley, have backed temporary relief measures through October 2026 or for 90-day periods with extension authority, though none have advanced to enactment. The federal tax has never been suspended since 1956, while several states have implemented their own pauses. With the market assigning roughly 20% probability to suspension by November 2, 2026, traders appear focused on congressional gridlock, revenue impacts on the Highway Trust Fund, and the limited price relief typically passed through to consumers.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$31,988Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising gas prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, have prompted multiple legislative proposals to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax. President Trump and bipartisan members of Congress, including Democratic Senators Kelly and Blumenthal and Republican Senator Hawley, have backed temporary relief measures through October 2026 or for 90-day periods with extension authority, though none have advanced to enactment. The federal tax has never been suspended since 1956, while several states have implemented their own pauses. With the market assigning roughly 20% probability to suspension by November 2, 2026, traders appear focused on congressional gridlock, revenue impacts on the Highway Trust Fund, and the limited price relief typically passed through to consumers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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