President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social posting—typically multiple times daily—defines trader expectations for this weekly market, with no observed lulls in the past 30 days amid his second-term priorities. Since May 11, recent posts have emphasized U.S. direction concerns, Iran Strait ceasefire violations involving bullets fired at ships, and critiques of political opponents, blending foreign policy signals with domestic rhetoric. This pattern, amplified by late-night activity and shares on X, reflects responses to diplomatic escalations and media coverage. Traders monitor for shifts from scheduled events like potential White House briefings or campaign announcements through May 17, alongside historical tendencies for all-caps attacks, endorsements, and personal notes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTrust
44%
Game
45%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
51%
King
44%
ICE
44%
No cards / All the cards
17%
Epstein
13%
Baby
42%
UFC
42%
Coal
18%
Crypto / Bitcoin
26%
Virus
27%
World Cup
25%
Football
35%
Brazil
21%
$6,626 Wol.
Trust
44%
Game
45%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
51%
King
44%
ICE
44%
No cards / All the cards
17%
Epstein
13%
Baby
42%
UFC
42%
Coal
18%
Crypto / Bitcoin
26%
Virus
27%
World Cup
25%
Football
35%
Brazil
21%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social posting—typically multiple times daily—defines trader expectations for this weekly market, with no observed lulls in the past 30 days amid his second-term priorities. Since May 11, recent posts have emphasized U.S. direction concerns, Iran Strait ceasefire violations involving bullets fired at ships, and critiques of political opponents, blending foreign policy signals with domestic rhetoric. This pattern, amplified by late-night activity and shares on X, reflects responses to diplomatic escalations and media coverage. Traders monitor for shifts from scheduled events like potential White House briefings or campaign announcements through May 17, alongside historical tendencies for all-caps attacks, endorsements, and personal notes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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