Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and her established fundraising and organizational advantages. The district supported Donald Trump by double digits in 2024, and Luna enters with roughly $1.1 million in cash on hand after raising over $4 million total. A mid-October Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by House Majority PAC showed Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, narrowly ahead at 47% to 46%, prompting increased Democratic outside spending and national attention. Luna’s campaign has rejected the poll as unreliable while Republican allies, including House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan, have scheduled late-cycle events to bolster turnout. Gray’s recent quarterly fundraising surge and focus on cost-of-living and veterans issues have narrowed the contest in some surveys, yet forecasters continue to rate the race Lean or Likely Republican.