Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican 95.9%
Democrat 1.8%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$32,893 Wol.
$32,893 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Republican 95.9%
Democrat 1.8%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$32,893 Wol.
$32,893 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$18,332 Wol.
96%
Democrat
$14,387 Wol.
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,893Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$32,893Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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