Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 93.4% Republican probability on prediction markets. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and Fitzgerald's 64.4% victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 11 primaries, with Fitzgerald raising over $1 million compared to limited Democratic fundraising for challenger Andrew Beck. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharp suburban voting shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-05 House Election Winner
WI-05 House Election Winner
$54,801 Wol.
$54,801 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$54,801 Wol.
$54,801 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$30,539 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$24,262 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 93.4% Republican probability on prediction markets. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and Fitzgerald's 64.4% victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 11 primaries, with Fitzgerald raising over $1 million compared to limited Democratic fundraising for challenger Andrew Beck. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharp suburban voting shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$54,801Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 93.4% Republican probability on prediction markets. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and Fitzgerald's 64.4% victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 11 primaries, with Fitzgerald raising over $1 million compared to limited Democratic fundraising for challenger Andrew Beck. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharp suburban voting shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$54,801Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin's 5th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 93.4% Republican probability on prediction markets. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and Fitzgerald's 64.4% victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 11 primaries, with Fitzgerald raising over $1 million compared to limited Democratic fundraising for challenger Andrew Beck. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal, or sharp suburban voting shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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