Recent polling in Republican-held seats such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Alaska, and Maine shows margins within a few points, reflecting competitive candidate matchups and state-level fundamentals that keep these contests tightest according to trader consensus. Open seats and vulnerable incumbents have drawn experienced challengers, while recent primaries and August surveys highlight narrow leads that could shift with turnout, fundraising, or national conditions ahead of November. The distribution across multiple states underscores uncertainty in path-to-victory calculations, with separation likely depending on further polling trends or late campaign events in these battlegrounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoClosest Senate Race?
Closest Senate Race?
Texas 23%
Iowa 18.8%
Ohio (Special) 14.2%
Alaska 12%
$28,490 Wol.
$28,490 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
23%
Iowa
19%
Ohio (Special)
14%
Alaska
12%
Maine
11%
Michigan
5%
Nebraska
5%
New Mexico
3%
Florida (Special)
3%
Virginia
2%
North Carolina
2%
New Hampshire
1%
Georgia
1%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
1%
Montana
<1%
Texas 23%
Iowa 18.8%
Ohio (Special) 14.2%
Alaska 12%
$28,490 Wol.
$28,490 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,278 Wol.
23%
Iowa
$2,736 Wol.
19%
Ohio (Special)
$5,040 Wol.
14%
Alaska
$5,272 Wol.
12%
Maine
$1,285 Wol.
11%
Michigan
$2,490 Wol.
5%
Nebraska
$275 Wol.
5%
New Mexico
$160 Wol.
3%
Florida (Special)
$253 Wol.
3%
Virginia
$5,073 Wol.
2%
North Carolina
$621 Wol.
2%
New Hampshire
$485 Wol.
1%
Georgia
$752 Wol.
1%
Minnesota
$1,489 Wol.
1%
Colorado
$662 Wol.
1%
Montana
$616 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in Republican-held seats such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Alaska, and Maine shows margins within a few points, reflecting competitive candidate matchups and state-level fundamentals that keep these contests tightest according to trader consensus. Open seats and vulnerable incumbents have drawn experienced challengers, while recent primaries and August surveys highlight narrow leads that could shift with turnout, fundraising, or national conditions ahead of November. The distribution across multiple states underscores uncertainty in path-to-victory calculations, with separation likely depending on further polling trends or late campaign events in these battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,490Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in Republican-held seats such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Alaska, and Maine shows margins within a few points, reflecting competitive candidate matchups and state-level fundamentals that keep these contests tightest according to trader consensus. Open seats and vulnerable incumbents have drawn experienced challengers, while recent primaries and August surveys highlight narrow leads that could shift with turnout, fundraising, or national conditions ahead of November. The distribution across multiple states underscores uncertainty in path-to-victory calculations, with separation likely depending on further polling trends or late campaign events in these battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$28,490Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Republican-held seats such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Alaska, and Maine shows margins within a few points, reflecting competitive candidate matchups and state-level fundamentals that keep these contests tightest according to trader consensus. Open seats and vulnerable incumbents have drawn experienced challengers, while recent primaries and August surveys highlight narrow leads that could shift with turnout, fundraising, or national conditions ahead of November. The distribution across multiple states underscores uncertainty in path-to-victory calculations, with separation likely depending on further polling trends or late campaign events in these battlegrounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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