Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge through substantial early fundraising and name recognition ahead of the June 23 primary, where she faces multiple challengers, while the Republican field remains fragmented and underfunded. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major external shocks, anchor trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late scandal, an unexpected primary upset, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, though the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$22,761 Wol.
$22,761 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,761 Wol.
$22,761 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,939 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge through substantial early fundraising and name recognition ahead of the June 23 primary, where she faces multiple challengers, while the Republican field remains fragmented and underfunded. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major external shocks, anchor trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late scandal, an unexpected primary upset, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, though the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,761Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge through substantial early fundraising and name recognition ahead of the June 23 primary, where she faces multiple challengers, while the Republican field remains fragmented and underfunded. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major external shocks, anchor trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late scandal, an unexpected primary upset, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, though the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$22,761Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a solid Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sarah Elfreth holds a clear edge through substantial early fundraising and name recognition ahead of the June 23 primary, where she faces multiple challengers, while the Republican field remains fragmented and underfunded. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major external shocks, anchor trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late scandal, an unexpected primary upset, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap, though the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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