Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey commands trader consensus at 92.5% to retain Maryland's 4th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+40 partisan lean—one of the nation's deepest blue—and his fundraising dominance with over $450,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent Governor Wes Moore endorsement on May 7 reinforces his primary position ahead of the June 23 vote against lesser-funded challengers Joseph Gomes and Shavonne Hedgepeth, while no credible Republican has emerged. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects historical Democratic lock despite midterms' volatility. Realistic shifts require Ivey primary upset, late GOP powerhouse recruit, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$23,185 Wol.
$23,185 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$23,185 Wol.
$23,185 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,857 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$15,328 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey commands trader consensus at 92.5% to retain Maryland's 4th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+40 partisan lean—one of the nation's deepest blue—and his fundraising dominance with over $450,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent Governor Wes Moore endorsement on May 7 reinforces his primary position ahead of the June 23 vote against lesser-funded challengers Joseph Gomes and Shavonne Hedgepeth, while no credible Republican has emerged. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects historical Democratic lock despite midterms' volatility. Realistic shifts require Ivey primary upset, late GOP powerhouse recruit, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,185Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey commands trader consensus at 92.5% to retain Maryland's 4th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+40 partisan lean—one of the nation's deepest blue—and his fundraising dominance with over $450,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent Governor Wes Moore endorsement on May 7 reinforces his primary position ahead of the June 23 vote against lesser-funded challengers Joseph Gomes and Shavonne Hedgepeth, while no credible Republican has emerged. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects historical Democratic lock despite midterms' volatility. Realistic shifts require Ivey primary upset, late GOP powerhouse recruit, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,185Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey commands trader consensus at 92.5% to retain Maryland's 4th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+40 partisan lean—one of the nation's deepest blue—and his fundraising dominance with over $450,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent Governor Wes Moore endorsement on May 7 reinforces his primary position ahead of the June 23 vote against lesser-funded challengers Joseph Gomes and Shavonne Hedgepeth, while no credible Republican has emerged. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects historical Democratic lock despite midterms' volatility. Realistic shifts require Ivey primary upset, late GOP powerhouse recruit, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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