Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the nomination after an uncontested or dominant primary in Arizona's 9th congressional district, a sprawling rural area that delivered him and Republican presidential candidates margins exceeding 30 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. The Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican registration and turnout advantages have proven durable. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$18,914 Wol.
$18,914 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$18,914 Wol.
$18,914 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,146 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$8,768 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the nomination after an uncontested or dominant primary in Arizona's 9th congressional district, a sprawling rural area that delivered him and Republican presidential candidates margins exceeding 30 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. The Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican registration and turnout advantages have proven durable. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$18,914Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the nomination after an uncontested or dominant primary in Arizona's 9th congressional district, a sprawling rural area that delivered him and Republican presidential candidates margins exceeding 30 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. The Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican registration and turnout advantages have proven durable. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$18,914Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the nomination after an uncontested or dominant primary in Arizona's 9th congressional district, a sprawling rural area that delivered him and Republican presidential candidates margins exceeding 30 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. The Democratic nominee, Danielle Sterbinsky, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican registration and turnout advantages have proven durable. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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