The Israeli Supreme Court’s early October unanimous ruling overturned the Central Elections Committee’s September disqualification of the Joint List and Ra’am, applying narrow statutory criteria under the Basic Law and permitting both lists to contest the October 27 Knesset vote. One Balad candidate withdrew voluntarily after the court signaled likely exclusion, but the main Arab lists remained on the ballot and participated fully. Traders assign 99.4% probability to “No” because the court decision cleared the primary legal barrier ahead of election day, consistent with prior precedents limiting disqualifications to extreme cases. Remaining uncertainty centers on any post-election challenges to seating or results certification, though no such actions have altered the parties’ participation to date.