Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a 65.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race, ahead of Republican nominee Jennifer Balkcom at 35.5%. The district, held by Republicans since 2010 and rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by forecasters, became more competitive after incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew following a House Ethics Committee investigation and weak fundraising. Republicans selected state Representative Balkcom as replacement in August 2026, leaving her with a compressed timeline and a significant fundraising gap against Ager, who raised over $3 million and won a strong Democratic primary. Recent polling averages remain close, while the national midterm environment and shifting western North Carolina demographics have narrowed the historical Republican edge. Traders appear to price these candidate and timing factors as tilting the contest toward the Democratic outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
$15,535 Wol.
$15,535 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
36%
$15,535 Wol.
$15,535 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,147 Wol.
66%
Republican Party
$8,388 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a 65.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race, ahead of Republican nominee Jennifer Balkcom at 35.5%. The district, held by Republicans since 2010 and rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by forecasters, became more competitive after incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew following a House Ethics Committee investigation and weak fundraising. Republicans selected state Representative Balkcom as replacement in August 2026, leaving her with a compressed timeline and a significant fundraising gap against Ager, who raised over $3 million and won a strong Democratic primary. Recent polling averages remain close, while the national midterm environment and shifting western North Carolina demographics have narrowed the historical Republican edge. Traders appear to price these candidate and timing factors as tilting the contest toward the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,535Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a 65.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race, ahead of Republican nominee Jennifer Balkcom at 35.5%. The district, held by Republicans since 2010 and rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by forecasters, became more competitive after incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew following a House Ethics Committee investigation and weak fundraising. Republicans selected state Representative Balkcom as replacement in August 2026, leaving her with a compressed timeline and a significant fundraising gap against Ager, who raised over $3 million and won a strong Democratic primary. Recent polling averages remain close, while the national midterm environment and shifting western North Carolina demographics have narrowed the historical Republican edge. Traders appear to price these candidate and timing factors as tilting the contest toward the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,535Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Jamie Ager holds a 65.5% implied probability in the NC-11 House race, ahead of Republican nominee Jennifer Balkcom at 35.5%. The district, held by Republicans since 2010 and rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by forecasters, became more competitive after incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew following a House Ethics Committee investigation and weak fundraising. Republicans selected state Representative Balkcom as replacement in August 2026, leaving her with a compressed timeline and a significant fundraising gap against Ager, who raised over $3 million and won a strong Democratic primary. Recent polling averages remain close, while the national midterm environment and shifting western North Carolina demographics have narrowed the historical Republican edge. Traders appear to price these candidate and timing factors as tilting the contest toward the Democratic outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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