The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
$41,882 Wol.
$41,882 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$41,882 Wol.
$41,882 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,231 Wol.
98%
Republican Party
$16,651 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,882Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$41,882Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-37 race centers on a newly configured Austin-area district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+30 and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including strong showings for Harris and Allred in 2024 benchmarks. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary after Lloyd Doggett's retirement and redistricting shuffle, while Republican Lauren Peña advanced from a low-turnout May runoff against limited opposition. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through late summer 2026, underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant candidate-specific scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this heavily urban, Democratic-leaning seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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