Wisconsin's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold, anchored by its Milwaukee urban core and a partisan voter index of D+26 that has produced double-digit margins for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has shown minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the 93.5 percent trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican recruit, a major local scandal, or a national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$19,230 Wol.
$19,230 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$19,230 Wol.
$19,230 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,971 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$13,259 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold, anchored by its Milwaukee urban core and a partisan voter index of D+26 that has produced double-digit margins for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has shown minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the 93.5 percent trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican recruit, a major local scandal, or a national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,230Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold, anchored by its Milwaukee urban core and a partisan voter index of D+26 that has produced double-digit margins for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has shown minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the 93.5 percent trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican recruit, a major local scandal, or a national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$19,230Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold, anchored by its Milwaukee urban core and a partisan voter index of D+26 that has produced double-digit margins for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has shown minimal fundraising or organizational strength. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the 93.5 percent trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican recruit, a major local scandal, or a national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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