Incumbent Kathy Castor’s established position in the newly redrawn FL-14 district, now confined to Hillsborough County following the May 2026 Florida legislative map, anchors Democratic positioning at 60 percent. Recent July polling showed Castor leading top Republican primary contenders by 7–8 points in head-to-head tests, underscoring her name recognition and fundraising edge ahead of the August 18 primary where Mike Beltran holds the GOP lead. Mixed race ratings from Cook and others reflect the redistricting’s intent to favor Republicans statewide, yet Castor’s consistent performance in the Tampa-area district has sustained trader consensus around her reelection prospects through November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$30,660 Wol.
$30,660 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
38%
$30,660 Wol.
$30,660 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,235 Wol.
60%
Republican Party
$15,425 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kathy Castor’s established position in the newly redrawn FL-14 district, now confined to Hillsborough County following the May 2026 Florida legislative map, anchors Democratic positioning at 60 percent. Recent July polling showed Castor leading top Republican primary contenders by 7–8 points in head-to-head tests, underscoring her name recognition and fundraising edge ahead of the August 18 primary where Mike Beltran holds the GOP lead. Mixed race ratings from Cook and others reflect the redistricting’s intent to favor Republicans statewide, yet Castor’s consistent performance in the Tampa-area district has sustained trader consensus around her reelection prospects through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,660Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kathy Castor’s established position in the newly redrawn FL-14 district, now confined to Hillsborough County following the May 2026 Florida legislative map, anchors Democratic positioning at 60 percent. Recent July polling showed Castor leading top Republican primary contenders by 7–8 points in head-to-head tests, underscoring her name recognition and fundraising edge ahead of the August 18 primary where Mike Beltran holds the GOP lead. Mixed race ratings from Cook and others reflect the redistricting’s intent to favor Republicans statewide, yet Castor’s consistent performance in the Tampa-area district has sustained trader consensus around her reelection prospects through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$30,660Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kathy Castor’s established position in the newly redrawn FL-14 district, now confined to Hillsborough County following the May 2026 Florida legislative map, anchors Democratic positioning at 60 percent. Recent July polling showed Castor leading top Republican primary contenders by 7–8 points in head-to-head tests, underscoring her name recognition and fundraising edge ahead of the August 18 primary where Mike Beltran holds the GOP lead. Mixed race ratings from Cook and others reflect the redistricting’s intent to favor Republicans statewide, yet Castor’s consistent performance in the Tampa-area district has sustained trader consensus around her reelection prospects through November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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