Greater Tunb Island has remained under continuous Iranian administrative and military control since its seizure in 1971, alongside Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa, despite longstanding UAE sovereignty claims and periodic Gulf Cooperation Council statements. US Central Command airstrikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island to degrade threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping, but produced no reported change in territorial authority or occupation. Iran’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed its position in early September statements rejecting Arab League and GCC calls for resolution via negotiation or the International Court of Justice. No subsequent military, diplomatic, or administrative developments have altered primary governmental or military control, and scheduled regional meetings have produced only reiterated positions without enforcement mechanisms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$55,050 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
$55,050 Wol.
September 30
$382 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Greater Tunb Island has remained under continuous Iranian administrative and military control since its seizure in 1971, alongside Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa, despite longstanding UAE sovereignty claims and periodic Gulf Cooperation Council statements. US Central Command airstrikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island to degrade threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping, but produced no reported change in territorial authority or occupation. Iran’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed its position in early September statements rejecting Arab League and GCC calls for resolution via negotiation or the International Court of Justice. No subsequent military, diplomatic, or administrative developments have altered primary governmental or military control, and scheduled regional meetings have produced only reiterated positions without enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,050Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Greater Tunb Island has remained under continuous Iranian administrative and military control since its seizure in 1971, alongside Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa, despite longstanding UAE sovereignty claims and periodic Gulf Cooperation Council statements. US Central Command airstrikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island to degrade threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping, but produced no reported change in territorial authority or occupation. Iran’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed its position in early September statements rejecting Arab League and GCC calls for resolution via negotiation or the International Court of Justice. No subsequent military, diplomatic, or administrative developments have altered primary governmental or military control, and scheduled regional meetings have produced only reiterated positions without enforcement mechanisms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$55,050Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Greater Tunb Island has remained under continuous Iranian administrative and military control since its seizure in 1971, alongside Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa, despite longstanding UAE sovereignty claims and periodic Gulf Cooperation Council statements. US Central Command airstrikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps coastal defenses, cruise missile storage, and launch sites on the island to degrade threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping, but produced no reported change in territorial authority or occupation. Iran’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed its position in early September statements rejecting Arab League and GCC calls for resolution via negotiation or the International Court of Justice. No subsequent military, diplomatic, or administrative developments have altered primary governmental or military control, and scheduled regional meetings have produced only reiterated positions without enforcement mechanisms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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