US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have featured Iranian assertions of naval authority, repeated closures or restrictions on shipping, and targeted US strikes on Iranian positions, including reports of projectiles impacting areas on or near Hengam Island in mid-July 2026. The island forms part of Iran's "arch defense" network alongside Qeshm, Hormuz, and others, supporting fast-attack craft and surveillance. No verified change in administration has occurred, with Iran continuing to manage the territory amid oil spills affecting its coasts and broader Gulf operations. Traders assign low probability to loss of control by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting limited expectations for rapid territorial shifts despite ongoing diplomatic and military activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$121,230 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$121,230 Wol.
August 31
$93,682 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have featured Iranian assertions of naval authority, repeated closures or restrictions on shipping, and targeted US strikes on Iranian positions, including reports of projectiles impacting areas on or near Hengam Island in mid-July 2026. The island forms part of Iran's "arch defense" network alongside Qeshm, Hormuz, and others, supporting fast-attack craft and surveillance. No verified change in administration has occurred, with Iran continuing to manage the territory amid oil spills affecting its coasts and broader Gulf operations. Traders assign low probability to loss of control by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting limited expectations for rapid territorial shifts despite ongoing diplomatic and military activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$121,230Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have featured Iranian assertions of naval authority, repeated closures or restrictions on shipping, and targeted US strikes on Iranian positions, including reports of projectiles impacting areas on or near Hengam Island in mid-July 2026. The island forms part of Iran's "arch defense" network alongside Qeshm, Hormuz, and others, supporting fast-attack craft and surveillance. No verified change in administration has occurred, with Iran continuing to manage the territory amid oil spills affecting its coasts and broader Gulf operations. Traders assign low probability to loss of control by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting limited expectations for rapid territorial shifts despite ongoing diplomatic and military activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$121,230Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have featured Iranian assertions of naval authority, repeated closures or restrictions on shipping, and targeted US strikes on Iranian positions, including reports of projectiles impacting areas on or near Hengam Island in mid-July 2026. The island forms part of Iran's "arch defense" network alongside Qeshm, Hormuz, and others, supporting fast-attack craft and surveillance. No verified change in administration has occurred, with Iran continuing to manage the territory amid oil spills affecting its coasts and broader Gulf operations. Traders assign low probability to loss of control by the August 31 resolution date, reflecting limited expectations for rapid territorial shifts despite ongoing diplomatic and military activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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