Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on September 3 under a mild Atlantic air mass, with persistent westerly winds, high cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high near 20.6 °C while suppressing stronger solar warming that could push readings higher. Minor model spread in timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer moisture explains the near-even split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied probabilities, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing peaks around 21–22 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C 47%
23°C 43%
21°C 9%
20°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
47%
23°C
43%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 47%
23°C 43%
21°C 9%
20°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$327 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$247 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$193 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$108 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$112 Wol.
1%
20°C
$95 Wol.
3%
21°C
$118 Wol.
9%
22°C
$593 Wol.
47%
23°C
$859 Wol.
43%
24°C
$33 Wol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on September 3 under a mild Atlantic air mass, with persistent westerly winds, high cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high near 20.6 °C while suppressing stronger solar warming that could push readings higher. Minor model spread in timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer moisture explains the near-even split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied probabilities, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing peaks around 21–22 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,689Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on September 3 under a mild Atlantic air mass, with persistent westerly winds, high cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high near 20.6 °C while suppressing stronger solar warming that could push readings higher. Minor model spread in timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer moisture explains the near-even split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied probabilities, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing peaks around 21–22 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,689Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a maximum of 22–23 °C in Amsterdam on September 3 under a mild Atlantic air mass, with persistent westerly winds, high cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the historical average high near 20.6 °C while suppressing stronger solar warming that could push readings higher. Minor model spread in timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer moisture explains the near-even split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied probabilities, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs showing peaks around 21–22 °C. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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