An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 3?
16°C 34%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
14°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
34%
17°C
24%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 34%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
14°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Wol.
1%
13°C
$0 Wol.
11%
14°C
$5 Wol.
23%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
34%
17°C
$0 Wol.
24%
18°C
$20 Wol.
10%
19°C
$22 Wol.
9%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$48Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$48Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...An approaching cut-off low pressure system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 3 maximum temperature, with forecasts converging on 14–17 °C amid rain, strong southeasterly winds, and reduced insolation. Official guidance highlights cooler, wetter, and windier conditions linked to this system, which favors the 15–16 °C cluster (market-implied odds near 60 % combined) while leaving room for modest model spread on timing and intensity. Persistent cloud cover and enhanced mixing from 20–40 km/h gusts limit daytime warming relative to surrounding dates, yet variations in exact rainfall totals and wind strength across ensembles keep 14 °C and 17 °C probabilities nearly equal. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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