Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
NOWE
$13,412 Wol.
NOWE
$13,412 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
NOWE
$13,412 Wol.
NOWE
$13,412 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
93°F or below
$4,631 Wol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,654 Wol.
21%
96-97°F
$1,327 Wol.
45%
98-99°F
$1,187 Wol.
28%
100-101°F
$1,015 Wol.
9%
102-103°F
$1,192 Wol.
1%
104-105°F
$1,198 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$420 Wol.
<1%
108-109°F
$441 Wol.
<1%
110-111°F
$155 Wol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$192 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,412Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,412Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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