Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a high near 17–18°C for Helsinki on September 8, with southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air amid variable cloud cover and a modest chance of light showers. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential and small differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts. The climatological average high of 16.7°C provides context, while recent model runs have converged on values just above that baseline without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 19°C or higher. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow range between the two leading bins, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at the Helsinki station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 8?
17°C 44%
18°C 40%
16°C 10%
19°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
44%
18°C
40%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
3%
17°C 44%
18°C 40%
16°C 10%
19°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
44%
18°C
40%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a high near 17–18°C for Helsinki on September 8, with southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air amid variable cloud cover and a modest chance of light showers. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential and small differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts. The climatological average high of 16.7°C provides context, while recent model runs have converged on values just above that baseline without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 19°C or higher. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow range between the two leading bins, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at the Helsinki station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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