Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$797 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$381 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$717 Wol.
1%
25°C
$86 Wol.
1%
26°C
$128 Wol.
5%
27°C
$371 Wol.
20%
28°C
$151 Wol.
35%
29°C
$793 Wol.
29%
30°C
$298 Wol.
8%
31°C
$525 Wol.
5%
32°C or higher
$223 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,471Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,471Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thundery showers driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly airstream over the Pearl River Estuary have moderated Hong Kong’s daytime heating, capping expected highs near 28–29 °C on August 3. Persistent cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling, shifting the distribution away from the seasonal 32 °C August average. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs continue to highlight uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 29 °C or remains at 28 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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