Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 2?
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$227 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$333 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,490 Wol.
8%
96-97°F
$958 Wol.
32%
98-99°F
$939 Wol.
40%
100-101°F
$383 Wol.
18%
102-103°F
$306 Wol.
4%
104-105°F
$311 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$56 Wol.
<1%
108-109°F
$133 Wol.
1%
110°F or higher
$224 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,359Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,359Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania