Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on July 14?
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 10%
$21,898 Wol.
$21,898 Wol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 10%
$21,898 Wol.
$21,898 Wol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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