Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs valid as of September 1, project a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds. This places the market's leading 26°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) slightly below the consensus high while still aligning with typical early-September climatology near 27.7°C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit convective activity or rapid warming, reducing upside risk to 27–28°C (combined ~20% probability). Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing of any seabreeze effects supports the narrow clustering around 25–26°C as the current trader consensus, with limited scope for outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 55%
25°C 23%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
23%
26°C
55%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
25°C 23%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$127 Wol.
1%
23°C
$85 Wol.
1%
24°C
$84 Wol.
4%
25°C
$363 Wol.
23%
26°C
$2,119 Wol.
55%
27°C
$118 Wol.
16%
28°C
$75 Wol.
4%
29°C
$177 Wol.
1%
30°C
$76 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$36 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs valid as of September 1, project a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds. This places the market's leading 26°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) slightly below the consensus high while still aligning with typical early-September climatology near 27.7°C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit convective activity or rapid warming, reducing upside risk to 27–28°C (combined ~20% probability). Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing of any seabreeze effects supports the narrow clustering around 25–26°C as the current trader consensus, with limited scope for outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,341Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs valid as of September 1, project a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds. This places the market's leading 26°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) slightly below the consensus high while still aligning with typical early-September climatology near 27.7°C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit convective activity or rapid warming, reducing upside risk to 27–28°C (combined ~20% probability). Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing of any seabreeze effects supports the narrow clustering around 25–26°C as the current trader consensus, with limited scope for outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,341Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs valid as of September 1, project a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds. This places the market's leading 26°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) slightly below the consensus high while still aligning with typical early-September climatology near 27.7°C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit convective activity or rapid warming, reducing upside risk to 27–28°C (combined ~20% probability). Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing of any seabreeze effects supports the narrow clustering around 25–26°C as the current trader consensus, with limited scope for outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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