Current forecasts from multiple global models, including GFS runs, indicate a high of 27–29 °C in Istanbul on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly flow and light winds near 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals of 26–28 °C while reflecting a modest post-August cooldown. Ensemble spread remains limited, with low precipitation probability supporting efficient daytime heating but allowing for small downward revisions if cloud cover increases or onshore flow strengthens overnight. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C therefore reflect trader assessment of typical model bias and resolution-station specifics rather than a major shift in atmospheric guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 1?
26°C 48%
27°C 45%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C
48%
27°C
37%
28°C
9%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 45%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
6%
23°C
$0 Wol.
6%
24°C
$20 Wol.
7%
25°C
$0 Wol.
21%
26°C
$19 Wol.
48%
27°C
$9 Wol.
37%
28°C
$0 Wol.
9%
29°C
$0 Wol.
6%
30°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple global models, including GFS runs, indicate a high of 27–29 °C in Istanbul on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly flow and light winds near 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals of 26–28 °C while reflecting a modest post-August cooldown. Ensemble spread remains limited, with low precipitation probability supporting efficient daytime heating but allowing for small downward revisions if cloud cover increases or onshore flow strengthens overnight. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C therefore reflect trader assessment of typical model bias and resolution-station specifics rather than a major shift in atmospheric guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$49Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple global models, including GFS runs, indicate a high of 27–29 °C in Istanbul on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly flow and light winds near 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals of 26–28 °C while reflecting a modest post-August cooldown. Ensemble spread remains limited, with low precipitation probability supporting efficient daytime heating but allowing for small downward revisions if cloud cover increases or onshore flow strengthens overnight. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C therefore reflect trader assessment of typical model bias and resolution-station specifics rather than a major shift in atmospheric guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$49Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple global models, including GFS runs, indicate a high of 27–29 °C in Istanbul on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly flow and light winds near 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals of 26–28 °C while reflecting a modest post-August cooldown. Ensemble spread remains limited, with low precipitation probability supporting efficient daytime heating but allowing for small downward revisions if cloud cover increases or onshore flow strengthens overnight. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C therefore reflect trader assessment of typical model bias and resolution-station specifics rather than a major shift in atmospheric guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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