Strong seasonal patterns and persistent summer heat in northern China underpin the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 9. August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing ongoing heatwave conditions (35–40°C peaks earlier in the month) driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC align on 31–33°C maximums under sunny to partly cloudy skies, well above the threshold. Only an unseasonal cold-air intrusion—rare in mid-August—could realistically produce readings near or below 26°C, an outcome unsupported by current synoptic patterns or ensemble guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 9?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 9?
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
16°C or below
$294 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$255 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$148 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$279 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$259 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$259 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$167 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$264 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$254 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$186 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$777 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal patterns and persistent summer heat in northern China underpin the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 9. August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing ongoing heatwave conditions (35–40°C peaks earlier in the month) driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC align on 31–33°C maximums under sunny to partly cloudy skies, well above the threshold. Only an unseasonal cold-air intrusion—rare in mid-August—could realistically produce readings near or below 26°C, an outcome unsupported by current synoptic patterns or ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,143Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal patterns and persistent summer heat in northern China underpin the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 9. August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing ongoing heatwave conditions (35–40°C peaks earlier in the month) driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC align on 31–33°C maximums under sunny to partly cloudy skies, well above the threshold. Only an unseasonal cold-air intrusion—rare in mid-August—could realistically produce readings near or below 26°C, an outcome unsupported by current synoptic patterns or ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,143Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong seasonal patterns and persistent summer heat in northern China underpin the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 9. August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing ongoing heatwave conditions (35–40°C peaks earlier in the month) driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC align on 31–33°C maximums under sunny to partly cloudy skies, well above the threshold. Only an unseasonal cold-air intrusion—rare in mid-August—could realistically produce readings near or below 26°C, an outcome unsupported by current synoptic patterns or ensemble guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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