Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 22?
Highest temperature in London on August 22?
22°C 36%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
23%
24°C
12%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
19°C
$5 Wol.
4%
20°C
$11 Wol.
9%
21°C
$240 Wol.
36%
22°C
$113 Wol.
36%
23°C
$133 Wol.
23%
24°C
$0 Wol.
12%
25°C
$10 Wol.
11%
26°C
$10 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$533Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$533Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania