Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a marine-influenced cooldown moderating Los Angeles highs into the mid-70s on August 13, with onshore flow and possible morning stratus limiting peak temperatures below the August climatological average of 84–85 °F. This has concentrated trader consensus on the 76–77 °F bin at 57 % implied probability, while the 74–75 °F and 78–79 °F ranges capture residual model spread. The shift follows several days of above-normal heat that prompted the current relief pattern, and resolution hinges on official observations from downtown or airport stations. Updated NWS forecasts and late-day model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
NOWE
$14,700 Wol.
NOWE
$14,700 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 5%
NOWE
$14,700 Wol.
NOWE
$14,700 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
$413 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$233 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,153 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$3,886 Wol.
23%
76-77°F
$5,136 Wol.
57%
78-79°F
$1,422 Wol.
14%
80-81°F
$319 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$506 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$638 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$593 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$400 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a marine-influenced cooldown moderating Los Angeles highs into the mid-70s on August 13, with onshore flow and possible morning stratus limiting peak temperatures below the August climatological average of 84–85 °F. This has concentrated trader consensus on the 76–77 °F bin at 57 % implied probability, while the 74–75 °F and 78–79 °F ranges capture residual model spread. The shift follows several days of above-normal heat that prompted the current relief pattern, and resolution hinges on official observations from downtown or airport stations. Updated NWS forecasts and late-day model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,700Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a marine-influenced cooldown moderating Los Angeles highs into the mid-70s on August 13, with onshore flow and possible morning stratus limiting peak temperatures below the August climatological average of 84–85 °F. This has concentrated trader consensus on the 76–77 °F bin at 57 % implied probability, while the 74–75 °F and 78–79 °F ranges capture residual model spread. The shift follows several days of above-normal heat that prompted the current relief pattern, and resolution hinges on official observations from downtown or airport stations. Updated NWS forecasts and late-day model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,700Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a marine-influenced cooldown moderating Los Angeles highs into the mid-70s on August 13, with onshore flow and possible morning stratus limiting peak temperatures below the August climatological average of 84–85 °F. This has concentrated trader consensus on the 76–77 °F bin at 57 % implied probability, while the 74–75 °F and 78–79 °F ranges capture residual model spread. The shift follows several days of above-normal heat that prompted the current relief pattern, and resolution hinges on official observations from downtown or airport stations. Updated NWS forecasts and late-day model guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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