Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
18°C 28%
17°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
14%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 28%
17°C 27%
16°C 14%
19°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$22 Wol.
5%
14°C
$290 Wol.
2%
15°C
$3 Wol.
6%
16°C
$18 Wol.
14%
17°C
$944 Wol.
27%
18°C
$244 Wol.
28%
19°C
$187 Wol.
12%
20°C
$28 Wol.
4%
21°C
$10 Wol.
6%
22°C
$5 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,756Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,756Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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