Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?
32°C 36%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
32%
34°C or higher
14%
32°C 36%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 22, 2026
24°C or below
$276 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$376 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$875 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,101 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$595 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$511 Wol.
1%
30°C
$593 Wol.
3%
31°C
$590 Wol.
17%
32°C
$1,705 Wol.
36%
33°C
$1,422 Wol.
32%
34°C or higher
$1,894 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,939Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,939Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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