Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11 under mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing toward 30°C averages, with recent model consensus reflecting stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Minor variations in ensemble runs introduce limited upside risk for 34°C, while downside deviations remain less favored given persistent warm advection patterns. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance updates heavily as resolution nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 11?
33°C 45%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
NOWE
$10,146 Wol.
NOWE
$10,146 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
33%
33°C
45%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
NOWE
$10,146 Wol.
NOWE
$10,146 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$359 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$314 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$558 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,345 Wol.
7%
32°C
$1,329 Wol.
33%
33°C
$1,028 Wol.
45%
34°C
$993 Wol.
12%
35°C
$603 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$3,255 Wol.
2%
37°C
$192 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$269 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11 under mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing toward 30°C averages, with recent model consensus reflecting stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Minor variations in ensemble runs introduce limited upside risk for 34°C, while downside deviations remain less favored given persistent warm advection patterns. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance updates heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,146Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11 under mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing toward 30°C averages, with recent model consensus reflecting stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Minor variations in ensemble runs introduce limited upside risk for 34°C, while downside deviations remain less favored given persistent warm advection patterns. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance updates heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,146Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 32–33°C for Madrid on June 11 under mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Early June climatology shows typical highs climbing toward 30°C averages, with recent model consensus reflecting stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Minor variations in ensemble runs introduce limited upside risk for 34°C, while downside deviations remain less favored given persistent warm advection patterns. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance updates heavily as resolution nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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