Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 11?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Wol.
$16,371 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Wol.
$16,371 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
67°F or below
$1,338 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$1,611 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$1,363 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,069 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,421 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,302 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$2,943 Wol.
Yes
80-81°F
$1,688 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$1,205 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$1,134 Wol.
No
86°F or higher
$1,297 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,371Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,371Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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