Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 Wol.
$344,383 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 Wol.
$344,383 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
$2,459 Wol.
No
25°C
$4,340 Wol.
No
26°C
$14,543 Wol.
No
27°C
$39,413 Wol.
No
28°C
$79,510 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$42,174 Wol.
No
30°C
$52,908 Wol.
No
31°C
$46,022 Wol.
No
32°C
$40,646 Wol.
No
33°C
$14,857 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$7,512 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$344,383Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$344,383Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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