Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 9?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Wol.
$52,661 Wol.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Wol.
$52,661 Wol.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
$1,401 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,796 Wol.
No
21°C
$646 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,686 Wol.
No
23°C
$19,597 Wol.
No
24°C
$9,518 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$3,549 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,650 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,907 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,098 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$811 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$52,661Data zakończenia
Jun 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52,661Data zakończenia
Jun 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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