Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C for São Paulo on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical austral winter conditions, when the city experiences mild highs averaging 21–23°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent Atlantic moisture bringing cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 22% combined while rendering sub-21°C readings less likely absent unexpected cooling. Traders appear to price in this narrow range based on official guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at INMET stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
22°C 52%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
24°C 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
28%
22°C
52%
23°C
22%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
24°C 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$170 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$339 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$496 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$729 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,114 Wol.
28%
22°C
$1,826 Wol.
52%
23°C
$1,480 Wol.
22%
24°C
$810 Wol.
1%
25°C
$802 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$896 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$404 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C for São Paulo on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical austral winter conditions, when the city experiences mild highs averaging 21–23°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent Atlantic moisture bringing cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 22% combined while rendering sub-21°C readings less likely absent unexpected cooling. Traders appear to price in this narrow range based on official guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at INMET stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,055Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C for São Paulo on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical austral winter conditions, when the city experiences mild highs averaging 21–23°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent Atlantic moisture bringing cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 22% combined while rendering sub-21°C readings less likely absent unexpected cooling. Traders appear to price in this narrow range based on official guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at INMET stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,055Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C for São Paulo on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical austral winter conditions, when the city experiences mild highs averaging 21–23°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent Atlantic moisture bringing cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime warming. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 22% combined while rendering sub-21°C readings less likely absent unexpected cooling. Traders appear to price in this narrow range based on official guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at INMET stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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